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Ofori-Atta’s 20% killer tax destroying 24-Hour industralisation

Mon, Dec 15 2025 3:57 PM
in Business, Ghana General News
ofori attas 20 killer tax destroying 24 hour industralisation
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Ofori-Atta's 20% killer tax destroying 24-Hour industralisation

Ghana’s ambition to industrialise through agriculture, create jobs, stabilise the cedi, and build a 24-Hour Economy depends heavily on agro-processing. Yet one policy—the 20% excise duty on natural fruit juices—is quietly undermining these national objectives.

Introduced as a revenue and health measure, the tax is producing the opposite effect: weakening local industry, discouraging healthy consumption, destroying value-chain jobs, and blocking Ghana’s path to import substitution and export growth.

Natural Fruit Juice Is Not a “Sin Product”

Excise duties are traditionally reserved for alcohol, tobacco, and highly sweetened or harmful products. Natural fruit juices—especially 100% juice, not-from-concentrate (NFC), and fibre-rich blends—do not fall into this category.

They are produced from Ghana-grown pineapples, oranges, coconuts, mangoes, passion fruits, and other crops. They contain vitamins, fibre, antioxidants, and essential nutrients. Taxing them as if they were unhealthy beverages sends a dangerous signal: that adding value to agriculture is being penalised rather than encouraged.

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How the Excise Duty Weakens Agro-Industrialisation

Local juice processors already face high production costs:

Expensive energy and water

Imported packaging materials

High interest rates on industrial finance

Seasonal and perishable raw materials

Adding a 20% excise duty raises shelf prices sharply, making Ghana-made juices less competitive than imported concentrates, powdered drinks, and artificial beverages. As demand falls, factories are forced to operate at 30–45% capacity instead of an efficient 70–85%.

This under-utilisation has serious consequences: farmers lose reliable offtake, fruits rot in the fields, factories cut shifts, and bank loans become stressed.

The FX Cost: Import Substitution Lost

Ghana currently spends an estimated US$350–450 million annually importing beverage concentrates, powdered drinks, and sweetened alternatives that could be produced locally.

With a supportive tax regime, natural juice processing could realistically achieve 30–40% import substitution within 3–5 years, resulting in US$120–180 million in annual foreign-exchange retention.

Instead, the excise duty protects imports, increases forex leakage, and adds unnecessary pressure on the cedi—directly contradicting macro-economic stabilisation efforts.

A Missed Export Opportunity of Up to US$1.0 billion

Global demand for natural and functional beverages is growing at 6–8% annually, particularly in Africa, the Middle East, Europe, and North America. Ghana is well positioned to serve these markets.

With 6–8 scaled juice and functional beverage factories, Ghana could achieve the following medium-term (3–5 year) export potential:

Pineapple juice & NFC: US$250–300 million

Citrus juice & concentrates: US$200–250 million

Coconut water & blends: US$150–200 million

Functional and fibre juices: US$100–150 million

Total potential export inflows: US$700 million to US$1.0 billion annually.

However, the excise duty raises production costs, weakens price competitiveness, and discourages long-term export contracts—effectively taxing away a future export industry before it matures.

Jobs: The Greatest Casualty

Natural juice processing supports one of the widest employment ecosystems in Ghana’s agro-industry.

A single medium-scale juice factory (10–15 tons per hour) supports:

600–900 direct jobs (factory workers, engineers, quality control, logistics)

8,000–20,000 indirect jobs (farmers, aggregators, transporters, suppliers)

At national scale (6–8 factories), Ghana could sustain:

5,000–7,000 direct industrial jobs

60,000–120,000 indirect value-chain jobs

Total: 65,000–127,000 jobs, largely for youth and women

Reduced factory throughput caused by excise-driven price suppression wipes out tens of thousands of these livelihoods.

Taxing Nutrition, Increasing Health Costs

Higher juice prices discourage consumption of natural fruit nutrition and push consumers toward cheaper, highly sweetened alternatives. Over time, this contributes to rising cases of diabetes, hypertension, obesity, and micronutrient deficiencies.

Any short-term excise revenue risks being outweighed by:

Lost PAYE and corporate taxes

Higher NHIS and public health costs

Increased unemployment-related social pressure

This creates a negative fiscal multiplier.

A Direct Contradiction to the 24-Hour Economy

Agro-processing is a natural anchor of Ghana’s 24-Hour Economy. Juice factories are designed for continuous operations, multiple shifts, and year-round conversion of perishable crops into stable products.

At full capacity, a single factory can run three shifts and support thousands of livelihoods. By suppressing demand and throughput, the excise duty eliminates night shifts and kills one of the fastest “quick wins” of the 24-Hour Economy vision.

A Smarter Policy Path

Ghana does not need to choose between revenue and development. A better approach would:

Zero-rate or exempt 100% natural fruit juices

Apply excise strictly to sugary and artificial beverages

Support export-oriented agro-processors

Align tax policy with nutrition, jobs, and industrial growth

Conclusion

The 20% excise duty on natural fruit juices is not just a tax—it is a structural brake on Ghana’s development. It undermines agro-industrialisation, destroys jobs, worsens public health outcomes, blocks import substitution, and delays the success of the 24-Hour Economy.

Removing or restructuring this tax is one of the fastest, lowest-cost policy corrections Ghana can make to unlock growth, protect health, and secure up to USD 1 billion in annual export earnings.

The choice is clear:

Tax away a future industry—or unlock it for national prosperity.

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