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New delegate poll shows Ken Agyapong in commanding position as Bawumia faces decline

Mon, Oct 20 2025 11:26 AM
in Ghana General News, News, Politics
new delegate poll shows ken agyapong in commanding position as bawumia faces decline
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New delegate poll shows Ken Agyapong in commanding position as Bawumia faces decline

A new nationwide survey by research group Academics and Professionals has placed Kennedy Ohene Agyapong in a commanding lead ahead of the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential primaries scheduled for January 2026.

The findings, presented by lead researcher Dr Evans Duah at a press conference show that Mr. Agyapong is consolidating his dominance among party delegates across all 16 regions.

The poll, conducted between 22nd September and 5th October 2025, sampled 26,150 delegates and achieved a 76 per cent response rate.

According to the survey, Mr. Agyapong’s support has expanded significantly since August, with his national delegate backing standing at 44.11 per cent under the worst-case model and rising to 53.80 per cent in the best-case scenario — surpassing the majority threshold.

This represents a net gain of 9.69 percentage points. His strength is most pronounced in the southern regions, including Central, Greater Accra, Ashanti, Ahafo, Bono, Volta, and Western, where he now leads in up to 11 out of 16 regions under optimistic projections.

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Vice-President Dr Mahamudu Bawumia (DMB) remains in second place but has seen a decline in momentum, securing between 32.21 per cent and 39.51 per cent of delegate support.

Although he continues to hold sway in the northern corridor — encompassing the North East, Northern, Savannah, Upper East, and Upper West regions — his campaign appears to be losing traction nationally.

Dr Bryan Acheampong’s (BA) numbers have also dipped, with support levels between 6.28 per cent and 8.27 per cent, concentrated mainly in the Eastern Region.

Dr Yaw Osei Adutwum (YOA) and Ing. Kwabena Agyei Agyapong (KAA) recorded marginal gains, with analysts suggesting that strategic endorsements from either could influence the final outcome.

Dr Duah attributed the shift in Mr. Agyapong’s favour to his intensified grassroots engagements, increased public visibility, and a growing perception of momentum.

He, however, cautioned that the race remains fluid, noting that the eventual outcome will depend on how effectively each campaign capitalises on its current support base in the months leading up to the primaries.

Below is the full document on the survey;

Public Version NPP Presidential Primaries Sept-Oct 2025 Polls – Dr. Evans Duah[1]Download
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