A new poll conducted by Global Info Analytics has revealed that 86 percent of New Patriotic Party (NPP) delegates are confident the party will be united for the 2028 elections, despite heightened competition and internal tension ahead of the presidential primaries.
The survey, conducted by pollster and Executive Director of Global Info Analytics, Mussa Dankwah, shows that a vast majority of delegates foresee reconciliation and cohesion within the party after the internal contest.
According to the findings, only 6 percent of respondents said they were not optimistic about post-primary unity, while 8 percent expressed no opinion.
Among those who expect the NPP to remain united, 25 percent are supporters of Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, 19 percent back Kennedy Agyapong, 4 percent support Bryan Acheampong, and 1 percent each are aligned with former Education Minister Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum and former General Secretary Kwabena Agyapong.
Sixteen percent of the respondents declined to disclose their preferred candidate, while 14 percent remain undecided.
For the 6 percent who do not expect unity, 41 percent are supporters of Dr. Bawumia, 23 percent back Kennedy Agyapong, seven percent support Bryan Acheampong, six percent are aligned with Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum, and four percent with Kwabena Agyapong. Nine percent were undisclosed, while 13 percent were undecided.
According to Mr. Dankwah, the data indicates that delegates supporting Kennedy Agyapong are more skeptical about post-primary unity. He explained that a number of such delegates, when dissatisfied, tend to lean toward the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) rather than towards Dr. Bawumia’s camp.
He dismissed assumptions that internal endorsements or traditional recommendations would influence the final outcome, saying such practices no longer carry weight in Ghanaian politics.
“We are no longer in the era where a chief recommends a candidate and all his people go and vote for that person. That era is gone,” he said. “The same applies to the recent endorsement votes by Members of Parliament, they are misleading and will not have any significant impact.”
The report also sheds light on deeper structural challenges within the party.
Mr. Dankwah noted that for the NPP to sustain unity, efforts must begin at the grassroots level, starting with the delegate system.
“For the NPP to be seen as united, it must start from the grassroots thus with the delegates. They must appeal to young people to be part of the delegate structure,” he said.
He emphasized that the current delegate composition does not reflect the country’s broader demographic and educational profile.
“The NPP has to ensure that the structure of its delegates reflects that of the population both in age and education. The country is younger and highly educated, but NPP delegates are older and poorly educated. There is a disalignment between the delegates and the national character of voters,” he stated.
Touching on voter alignment and possible outcomes, the poll suggests that if the race narrows to a contest between Dr. Bawumia and Kennedy Agyapong, most delegates from other camps would align with Kennedy.
However, this shift would not be enough to overtake Dr. Bawumia’s overall support.
“Even when you add all other delegates’ numbers to Kennedy Agyapong’s, they are still below Bawumia’s,” Mr. Dankwah explained.
Nonetheless, he said continuous polling indicates that while Dr. Bawumia’s numbers are gradually declining, Kennedy Agyapong’s support is steadily increasing
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